AI Starts Writing the AI
AI agents now write most of the code that builds the next AI. Progress speeds up, junior office jobs shrink, and governments scramble to see inside the labs.
The AI takeoff, one year at a time. Twenty-one episodes, from the year AI started building itself to wherever it leads.
AI agents now write most of the code that builds the next AI. Progress speeds up, junior office jobs shrink, and governments scramble to see inside the labs.
Agents code for hours on their own, and AI starts doing much of the work of building AI. Everything in this episode really happened.
Total AI progress since 2026, in years of progress at 2026's pace (log scale, so each step up the axis is a bigger jump). Each small dot is a frontier AI release. The curve fills in as each episode comes out: 2 of 21 years so far, and the chart zooms out as the curve climbs.
Each episode covers one year: the AI releases, what they made possible, how money, power and daily life responded, and the question the year leaves open.
Episode 1 covers 2026 and is fact-checked against what actually happened. Every episode after it is a careful projection, built the same way, one year at a time. Each comes with a companion guide: the year's numbers, models and breakthroughs, on one page.
A new episode comes out every Tuesday.